September 7, 2012
THE FRESH FACTOR
The 2012/13 Hong Kong Racing Season commences on Saturday, September 8th, 2012 at the Sha Tin racetrack.
There is a distinct handicapping variable that comes into play at the start of each Hong Kong racing season. The first few months afford a unique opportunity when assessing the racing fields given that all horses have not raced in 2 or more months. Therefore, by concentrating your analysis on those Trainers and Horses that have shown a strong ability in the past to be competitive after a "break" in racing you can gain a competitive edge.
Most commercially-available data does not show significant detail to properly analyze these "fresh" factors. Some factors show horses which have won or placed off of a spell, but those same factors do not typically highlight a trainers' record. However, using the HKRJ's extensive database, we have created a chart to highlight the relevant factors to assess Trainers' performance in positively (or negatively) managing breaks in racing.
» LINK to the TRAINER CHART (PDF File)
Trainers with positive and/or negative performance with fresh horses
» LINK to the HORSES CHART (PDF File)
Fresh Records for Horses entered on Sept.8 Races
The first rule of Handicapping is to eliminate horses with limited chances - so use these tables to concentrate on Trainers and Horses with positive "fresh" records.
For ADDITIONAL HANDICAPPING TOOLS, check out our NEW & FREE HK RACING APP (in Beta).
I will be using these tables in my analysis for this season's first TIP SHEET (a FREE Service).
Posted the night before racing, please check out our TIPS and tell your racing buddies! Download TIPS for FREE Here.
Earl
TRAINER CHART : blog_02_2012_trainers.pdf
HORSES CHART : blog_02_2012_horses.pdf